Analysis of the market efficiency of Nigerian stock market: Evidence from post COVID-19 lockdown

Fatimoh T. Abdulrahman; Kamaldeen I. Nageri; Saheed O. Lawal; Rahji O. Ibrahim

doi:10.21638/spbu18.2023.404

Authors

Fatimoh T. Abdulrahman Al-Hikmah University, Nigeria
Kamaldeen I. Nageri Al-Hikmah University, Nigeria https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5569-2169
Saheed O. Lawal Al-Hikmah University, Nigeria https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9378-0629
Rahji O. Ibrahim Al-Hikmah University, Nigeria

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.21638/spbu18.2023.404

Abstract

Goal: to assess the efficiency of the Nigerian stock market after the COVID-19 lockdown which had substantial impacts on African countries, including their local stock markets.

Metodology: the empirical study was conducted by employing the GARCH models with three different error distributional assumptions with data covering the timeframe from June 2020 to December 2022.

Findings: the results indicate that during the post COVID-19 period, the Nigerian stock market demonstrates inefficiency in the weak form but efficiency in the semi-strong form.

Originality and contribution of the authors: this is the first empirical study in Nigeria that presents the comprehensive overview of market efficiency in the post COVID-19 period. The authors’ emphasis in the study that the levels of market efficiency are independently determined forms; the semi strong form efficiency can be attained without week form efficiency. The study emphasise the importance of implementing strict oversight, restrictions, and regulations to discourage excessively negative noise (rumour) traders and investors from engaging in short selling for profit especially in equities held by institutional investors.

Keywords:

Nigeria, market efficiency, stock market, COVID-19, GARCH

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References

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